Medal count may come down, curling

This is so, why Canadians spend all this time and energy play shuffleboard on ice.

The U.S. curling teams caused the team selection process some 3: 02 and fight, whether you are looking to challenge before the next Olympics. Curler Dean Gemmell combines Kelsey Hubbard to talk about the top candidates of curling. 3: 27 WSJ's Rachel Dodes speaks about Norway's crazy curling trousers, Ryan Bedford patriotic hair, snowboarders denim like clothes and "Native" skating outfits.

To go with four days in the Winter Olympics in Vancouver is Team USA away with the total run medal table, which would give the United States its first medal victory since 1932. But the race for the most gold coins, which is what counts most of the world is set up as a four way battle between the United States, Canada, Norway Germany. And that may very well come down to Canada's stature as a curling powerhouse.

During Canada probably well pre Games objective of 34 total medals fall short - the core of your program "own the podium"-the last days of the games are full of events where Canadians have a strong shot at the win.

Right is the bat, or stick, Saturday's gold medal game for women hockey against Team USA. Neither team has called into question was in the tournament but the defending Olympic champion Canadians are ice cream at home. Advantage Canada.

Canada speed skating relay, is also strong in women planned for Saturday. Add gold medals in curling in two probably and Canada is set to be at the top of the list in the number of golds. The darkness and doom on the home team would suddenly underperformance an afterthought.

Getty Images Canada Releases skip Cheryl Bernard your stone below the sheet during a game against the United Kingdom.

Nate silver, the average medal projections from nine sources and updating was numbers every day on his site fivethirtyeight.com, Wednesday was the United States win the medal table with Germany, Canada Norway total right behind.

"This is now a game between the USA and Germany", said Luciano Barra, Executive with the Olympic Turin and a well-known Olympic Predictor.

"The difference for these countries is, win in a lot of different sports, medals are is what you need to do to win", said Mr Barra.

But Mr. Silver's website has Canada won the gold medal by a healthy margin - 12.8 second ranked Germany 9.6. Norway was in third guilders with 9.3, and the United States is projected to fourth place with 8.4 guilders.

Agence France-Presse/Getty Images of Canadian ice hockey player Jayna Hefford celebrates a goal during a game against the Switzerland women.

Mr Barra and most other predictors seem Canada home advantage have overestimated. This was undoubtedly the fault of the Wall Street Journal's projections to start of the games that rely on statistical probabilities, rather than simple predictions for gold, silver and bronze. These forecasts placed Canada ranks first in the overall medal count seems the what now like an absurd 37 medals in 86 events.

Canada threw millions of dollars in public funds to his Olympic program plus millions more in private funds and it limits the access of foreign athletes to the venues.

"An historical average of field home there produced three more medals", said Dan Johnson, economics professor at the Colorado College, the forecasting-model based on home field and the socio-economic factors of which. Mr. Johnson Canada had three more than his 24 Games 2006 in Turin won the medal count with 27.

"Will you come lower than that?" Yes, "he said." "But Canada has a reputation not greedy host."

At the same time the most projections seem Team USA's home continent edge have underestimated. American Alpine skiers who have won eight medals the snow feels like California and in contrast to the most World Cup events that occur in Europe say Vancouver puts most of the competition in a really foreign country.

The journal of the projection of 10 gold medals and 33, the total for the United States only could end his right on the mark. Team USA at least a silver in women's hockey is guaranteed and it should pick some of you medals, gold, Nordic combined, short track speed skating and perhaps Bob-sleigh course.

Norway, could sneak in the meantime, away with a gold-medal triumph, when its biathlon and cross country relay teams, led or reign of Emil Svendsen and Petter Northug Canada and the US rolling.

Also threatens Germany. Play winner which include medal in four of the last five, Germany has a big lift from its "biathlon beauty," get Magdalena Neuner, the winner of two gold and a silver medal. It has enjoyed sports, to his usual dominance in the tobogganing, where it has already won nine medals in the men's singles Luge, Bob and skeleton.

The toboggan run away and Germany suddenly looks a lot like Korea with 11 medals and five guilders.

Here are the Wall Street Journal's final projected medal standings for what we expect the top will be four.

Source: WSJ research

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